Agricultural Market Viewpoint with Wandile Sihlobo
The Xchange Platform
Catégories: Arts
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South Africa has experienced two months of extremely dry and hot weather — February and March. The impact of harsh weather conditions on agriculture across the country is visible through crop failures. The 2023/24 summer grain and oilseed production is down 21% year-on-year, estimated at 15.8 million tonnes. We are now at an advanced stage of crop development where there would be minimal to no improvement, even if it rains. Indeed, if one reflects on the past few days, we have received some excellent rainfalls in various regions of South Africa, but this has had minimal benefit on crops. The soil moisture is enhanced, but this will unlikely improve our summer grain and oilseed production outlook. However, the grazing veld for the livestock will be improved somewhat. The map below illustrates the increased soil moisture levels in the central and eastern regions of South Africa following the recent rains. The improved moisture will help in the winter crop season, which starts at the end of this month in most regions of the country. Regarding summer grain and oilseed production prospects, South Africa is in a better condition than the rest of the southern African region, where there are massive crop failures and countries have to rely on grain imports. South Africa has sufficient grain for domestic consumption; if the forecast crop materialises, we hope it does. Listen to the podcast for more insights. My writing on agricultural economic matters is available on my blog: https://wandilesihlobo.com/ Podcast production by Nelisiwe Tshabalala, Lwandiso Gwarubana, Richard Humphries, and Sam Mkokeli
Épisodes précédents
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90 - Recent rains in South Africa will improve grazing veld and winter crops Mon, 22 Apr 2024 - 0h
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89 - SA red meat and wool exports are recovering Mon, 15 Apr 2024 - 0h
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88 - SA starts its winter crop season with some uncertainty about the weather outlook Mon, 08 Apr 2024 - 0h
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87 - South Africa’s summer crop production prospects remain bleak Tue, 02 Apr 2024 - 0h
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86 - The global grain and oilseeds supplies remain plentiful, but the drought in South Africa will still hurt Mon, 25 Mar 2024 - 0h
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85 - South Africa’s food inflation risks amid the drought Mon, 18 Mar 2024 - 0h
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84 - Southern Africa’s agriculture is struggling with persistent dryness and extreme heatwave Mon, 11 Mar 2024 - 0h
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83 - SA agricultural exports reach a record US$13.2 billion Mon, 04 Mar 2024 - 0h
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82 - SA farm jobs up 7% year-on-year Mon, 26 Feb 2024 - 0h
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81 - Excessive heat across SA summer crop regions is worrying Mon, 19 Feb 2024 - 0h
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80 - Weak agricultural machinery sales Tue, 13 Feb 2024 - 0h
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79 - A promising summer grain outlook Mon, 05 Feb 2024 - 0h
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78 - SA to export beef to Saudi Arabia Tue, 30 Jan 2024 - 0h
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77 - South Africa’s 2023 agricultural machinery sales were mixed Mon, 22 Jan 2024 - 0h
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76 - SA has a decent winter crop harvest Tue, 16 Jan 2024 - 0h
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75 - SA agricultural outlook for 2024 Fri, 05 Jan 2024 - 0h
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74 - Key challenges that constrained SA's agricultural fortunes in 2023 Mon, 18 Dec 2023 - 0h
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73 - SA agricultural exports were robust in Q3, 2023 Tue, 12 Dec 2023 - 0h
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72 - Winter crops in South Africa Tue, 05 Dec 2023 - 0h
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71 - Food prices in South Africa Mon, 27 Nov 2023 - 0h
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70 - SA farm jobs up Tue, 21 Nov 2023 - 0h
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69 - Biosecurity challenges in SA agriculture Mon, 13 Nov 2023 - 0h
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68 - Prospects for solid summer crop harvest in SA in 2023/24 season Mon, 30 Oct 2023 - 0h
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67 - South Africa's food security conditions Mon, 23 Oct 2023 - 0h
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66 - Eggs and poultry supply constraints in South Africa Tue, 17 Oct 2023 - 0h
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65 - Western Cape Floods and Agricultural Conditions Mon, 09 Oct 2023 - 0h
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64 - Quick Comment on the Avian Flu in SA Thu, 05 Oct 2023 - 0h
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63 - SA summer crop harvest and prospects for new season Mon, 02 Oct 2023 - 0h
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62 - Summer crop planting prospects in South Africa Tue, 26 Sep 2023 - 0h
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61 - What underpins food prices in South Africa Mon, 18 Sep 2023 - 0h
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60 - SA agricultural exports remained robust in Q2,2023 Mon, 11 Sep 2023 - 0h
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59 - Saudi Arabia is a strategic market for RSA agriculture exports expansion Mon, 04 Sep 2023 - 0h
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58 - The re-opening of beef export markets is positive for SA Mon, 28 Aug 2023 - 0h
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57 - SA agricultural exports could soften in 2023 Mon, 21 Aug 2023 - 0h
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56 - What keeps SA agribusinesses up at night Mon, 14 Aug 2023 - 0h
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55 - Some observations as we approach South Africa's 2023/24 summer crop season Sun, 06 Aug 2023 - 0h
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54 - There are ample grain supplies in the global market Tue, 01 Aug 2023 - 0h
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53 - Russia and India's agricultural policies add risks to global food prices Sun, 23 Jul 2023 - 0h
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52 - Risks to feed prices for the SA livestock and poultry industry Tue, 18 Jul 2023 - 0h
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51 - SA agriculture records a decent trade surplus in Q1,2023 Mon, 10 Jul 2023 - 0h
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50 - SA has the second-largest maize harvest on record Mon, 03 Jul 2023 - 0h
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49 - Zimbabwe may face a significant maize shortfall Mon, 26 Jun 2023 - 0h
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48 - Expected El Niño in 2023/24 summer does not necessarily foretell a bad harvest Mon, 19 Jun 2023 - 0h
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47 - Why did SA agriculture GDP contract by 12,3% in the first quarter of 2023 Mon, 12 Jun 2023 - 0h
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46 - Agriculture Master Plan is ripe for implementation Mon, 05 Jun 2023 - 0h
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45 - Ample maize supplies in South Africa Mon, 29 May 2023 - 0h
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44 - Farm jobs in SA, Black Sea Grain Deal Mon, 22 May 2023 - 0h
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43 - Can SA expand its maize export footprint in China? Mon, 15 May 2023 - 0h
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42 - SA is on track for a good winter crop season Mon, 08 May 2023 - 0h
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41 - SA expects ample summer grains and oilseeds harvest Tue, 02 May 2023 - 0h